PAGE FQUR

THE DAILY REFLECTOR, GREENVILLE, N. C.

iii idy, 'January 4^19M

T

Monday, January 4, I960 '

Different Pre-Convention Picture

Oh, My Achin' Back

CANDIDATES

CORRAU

9wa

The formal announcement by Sen. John Kennedy of Massachusetts that he will seek the presidential nomination on the Democratic ticket places two hats in the partys sweepstakes race with others on the sidelines awaiting an opportune moment for official entry.

Earlier in the week Sen. Hubert Humphrey of Minnesota had announced he would seek the nomination and was considered by the experts as a man who was hoping to gain sufficient support to tal^ the nomination in case of a deadlock between other major candidates.

Also in the week which was filled with major political activity on the national scene, Gov,. Nelson Rockefeller of New York announced he would not seek the GOP presidential nomination, thus leaving Vice President Nixon a clear field for the prize months before the nominating convention date.

So far as the Democrats are concerned, the situation still leaves Adlai Stevenson, twice the partys standard bearer, Senate Democratic Leader- Lyndon B. Johnson and Missouris Sen. Stuart Symington much in the running for the nomination, but without an official announcement of their intentions.

Sen. Kennedys official announcement climaxed almost four years of speculation that he would seek the partys top nomination in 1960. He just missed out for the vice presidential nomination four years ago, but since that time^has devoted considerable effort and attention to cultivating support for the 1960 campaign. He has appeared in every state in the union during that

period and has indicated his desire to be the Democratic candidate for the White House. Moreover, the unofficial polls taken in recent months show Kennedy to be the leading contender for the Democratic nomination although the contest is still an open affair in which new entries might drastically change the pre-conVention odds of each participant.

While Vice President Nixon and the Republicans can begin carrying out their campaign plans without worrying about convention developments, the Democrats are also sure of having a good bit of campaign activity in the coming months too. Sen Kennedy and Sen. Humphrey both have proven themselves energetic campaigners. The rapid pace of appearances and proclamations they have already set can only be expected to intensify in the weeks and months ahead . . . with or without other official announcements by candidates.

The Democrats know that Nixon is the man to beat if they are to regain control of the administrative branch of government in the November elections. Each Democratic aspirant for the nomination will take as his prime target the Vice President.

The situation will present pre-convention activity with aspects different from those experienced by eith-* er political party in recent years.

Almost Inconceivable

Certain To Be !ventful Year

By LYNN NISBET

FORECAST What wlU 1960 bring to North Carolina? It would be very foolish to attempt to put on paper a detailed prediction of things to come. Yet. (xUy a fool would begin the new year without some thought of what > the problems might be and some advance planning to meet anticipated developments.

Circumstances have conspired to make sure that 1960 will be an eventful year. The situation at beginning of ttie year Is paraitoxical. Old folks canhot remember a time when positive predictions were as difficult to make^and acc^; nor a time when the state was in better position to cope with any eventuality in economics and politics, private business and government. and in the ramifications of social relationships in the broad concept of that term.

The traditionally sound fiscal policy of the State of North Carolina has been strengthened, by developments of the past decade. A fair balance between pay-as-you-go and bond Issues for permanent improvements has been maintained through the adxninistratioDs of Governors Scott, Umstead and Hodges. Policies sponsored by these great chief executives have resulted in near approach to equitable treatment of present and future cltiseos. rural and urban

residents, corporate and individual taxpayers. Complete equity has not been achieved. There remains a lot to do. But the beginning of the final year in the first decade of the last half of the 20th century finds all North Carolinians more early on equality than ever before. During this last year of the decade which began with 1951 the stage must be set for the next decade to begin January 1. 1961.

POLITICSPoUtics will dominate the 1960 arena. North Car-. olina has a bigger than usual stalu ip the election of a President, because of the prominence of Governor Hodges on the national stage. Win or lose. North Carolina will be counted in the Democratic column next November. So, while interest may be keener, result of national election will not materially affect North Carolinians generally.

Bfain concern amimg our people is the election of a Governor, Many citizens are disturbed because no really strong candidate has come to the front in that race. And no real issue has been presented, up to now. What will the controlling issue be?

Heres an off-the-cuff prediction: The real issue will be the record of the Hodges administration. And it will be very hard to handle in a campaign.

Your reporter has found very few people wlUlag to endorse completely the Hodges idea of

ultra-concentration of power In the executive, the reorgusa-tton plans which have centralized control of all State govom-ment in Raleigh and nearly all Raleigh control in <me agency responsible only to the Governor.

It is more difficult to find anybody with prestige willing to challenge the total Hodges program in a primary campaign. The approach will be that be went too far here, didnt go far enough ttere. But nobo^ will suggest that he didnt went somewhere. The next Governor may want to de-emphaslM industrial promotion and ' give more attention to agriculture and education; but it is unthinkable that he will seek to undo or stop In the middle of promotions instituted by Hodges.

CENSUSThe decennial census, head count of all residents, will be taken In AprU. It is practically certain that, unless the Congress votes to increase its membership. North Carolina will lose a seat In the National House of Representatives. Preliminary tentative reports of the census may be puhUsbed before our primary on the last Saturday in May. Votes for local and statewide ofA^rs in that primary might well be influenced by their attitude on re-districting for Congress, solicitors. State senators, et cetera. The counties and districts which now have advantage will be reluctant to surrender to areas with more the legislators who will have to face will be elected this year.

The census is expected to show at least four cities with more than 100,000 people. Charlotte. ihe only city in that class ten years ago. may pass the 200,000 mark. Greensboro, Ral-. eigh ifcnd Winston - Salem will break the pentury mark in populations.

ECONOMICS Industrial dedevelopment will continue, with larger interest in small home-financed processing plants. A by-product of the in* dustry-huntlng safaris out of the state, perhaps as valuable as the main product, was awakening of local people to the. possibilities for development for home, by and for bomefolks.

Banking resources will con* tlnue to grow fmd the trejiid of brandies of big banks, ratb* than inadequate local indepcnd-ints, will afford financing for tbs borne industries.

There are a few rough places on the labor - management front, but jo far as North Carolina will be affected the labor trouble viU be mostly lap-over from the national situation.

The farm forecast ta only reasonably fair, is not particularly bright or'gloomy. Fewer people will produce more food and flber at about the same profit ratio as maintained last year. n__

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It is almost inconceivable in this day and time that high school debaters of any modem community Tvould be prevented from participating in debate activities because the subject chosen for debate is offensive to school officials or ..to political leaders.

Such, however, appears to be the case in Kannapolis where the schools representatives reportedly will not be allowed to enter the State High School debating competition this spring because of the topic for debate. High School teams from around the-state will debato the' topic: Resolved That the Federal Government Should Substantially Increase Its Regulation of Labor Unions.

According to reports from Kannapolis local feeling is responsible for the move to prevent high school students there from participating in debate of the topic.

Are we to gather'from the report that there is local feeling in Kannapolis against young people disciiBsing freely topics which are of vital importance to all of the people of the United States? Do the school officials feel that by debating the issue the high school students might be misled or arrive at conclusions not in keeping with the opinions held by a large number of the people of the community?

If, indeed, the powers that be in the Kannapolis school system are afraid to allow their students to participate in debates of important topics, is it because they are also afraid that the youngsters will leara something they shouldnt know from the experience?

The topic is one which will be debated in Congress this year, it will be debated in the presidential campaign next fall, and. it will be debated informally in speeches before civic groups, in street comer discussions and in homes throughout the country during the coming year. It will also be debated by high school students who enter the state-wide debate competition.

Why should Kannapolis officials, then, attempt ta insulate their own high school students from considerations of this important topic in national affairs?

Year Of Rising Business Tide

By HAL BOYLE

earned In Opening Mar

NEW YORK (AP)-Thingz a columnist might never know If he didn't open his mall:

Do you ever brag that no one coul^ hypnotize you? Well, the fact is that 9 out of 10 people can be put into a trance. But only about one out of four or ftve can by hypnotized deeply

enough to undergo major surgery without an gnesthetie.

Weather note: If you want to find which way the wind is blowing, look at the nearest cow. Cows always point their tails toward the wind. When a herd points its tails in several directions. there isnt much wind.

Other Editors Saying... Businessmen In .Politics

NATIONAL aDVERTIRINO REPRESENTATIVES Thomas F. Clark Co , Inc., New York, Chicago, Atla'nU Member Audit Bureau of Circulation.

All advertising copy must be received at least ont day before publication data.

By RALPH ROBEY

It is generally assumed that 1960 will be a year of continuously rising business activity, with the rate of increase greater )n the first six months than In the second, six months. If one accepts this thesis certain predictions are self-evident. For example:

Gross nsUoosl product will go above $500 billion for the first time in the history of either this or any other nation. This will involve new highs for all the components of gross national product with the exception of (arm ncome. Farm income, which has been down in 1959, is slated to be still lower in 1960.

Production will reach an all-Ume high and business profits will rise still further. Automobile sales, including imports, will be in the neighborhood of seven million.

Wages will continue to increase. probably faster than the output per man-hour. This will mean a rise in the cost of production and will perpetuate 'the wage-push inflation we have been having. The upward slant Ir. prices will not be steep, but (or the year as a -wbole it will be fairly persistent.

We shall be back in a period of inventory accumulation and in the aggregate it will amount to between five axxd ten billion dollars. ** '

Investment In plant and equipment by the end of the year will be close to the previous peak of $37 biUion.

Housing starts will be about lY millionwhich is a significant reduction from 1959, but still a good year. Construction as a whole will be approximately the aame m this year In dollar terms.

Those are forecasts on the basis that 1960 will be twelve months of prosperity. Other factors that must be taken into consideration are:

1. There is an anti-business majority in both houses of the present Congress and there are acom of bills which were Introduced this year that automatically are carried over to the coming session. Many of these

measures will be pushed vigorously. Some of them are so outrageous that they can be defeated. but others may pass and If they do become law they will be disruptive to the business trend.

2. This is an election year

coming up and many members of the Congress will be working with this Irimarlly in mind. This can mean not only bad legislation but endless Investigations designed to embarrass the Administration and its sup-, porters. It will also make it much more diffucult to obtain needed legislation, such as tax rate reform, or to get any real government economy, or further labor legislation. This assures. among other things, perpetuation of shortage (rf savings, tight credit, and present rates of interest.

3. Other plroblems, such as the deficit in intematicmal payments, may become crucial and cause serious dlsturbgnoe of confidence * ahd perhaps even worse.

In view, of' these potential dlificultiee we' find it impossible to say with positiveness that all of 1960 will be a record of pros-perity. The first six months appear' about as certain of good times as anything in this field can be. but the final six months appear about as certain of good times as anjrthing in this field can be. but the final six months need to have a large question mark at present. There is no doubt that these final six months should be a period of rising busmess activity, but whether or not this proves to be true in fact will be determined by what the coming session of the Congress does, and by the success with which we solve the basic problems confronting the nation.

The wise course, therefore, appears to be to assume that the first half of i960 wUl be on-the upgrade and the second half may or may not be so favorable.

, (Halford Coaxty Herald)

Political forecast for 1900: More businessmen on the hustings.

Theyve learned that mer^ ly being the fat cats who make big campaign contributions wont get them the kind of rep-lesentatives and the kind of laws they want. They learned that beforeand again in 1958.

Now theyre going out to ring door^Us, make speeches, stir up a bit of controversy.

Thus writes Newsweek# Associate Editor Gerald J. Barry, in the November 80 issue of the magazine. His article deals with a movement that began about a year ago. when a number oi business executives became deeply and actively concerned with the fact that, for the most part, business people had avoided down-to-earth pv-ticipatloD in the political arenas local, state, national^ By way of contrast, other v groups such as labor and agriculture bad long been politically active 'on behalf of candidates and laws, often with striking success. The business feeling that thus developed was that the country needed another poUtieal influence to balance these and that business must provide it.

Business has a long way yet to go. As Mr. Barry puts, it. The plain (act is that business in practical politicsat least on the company and executive levelis still in the toddler stage. However, h soes on, . . . its coming aldhg fast. According to a recent survey of 200 legdlng corporations-only 30 had active political programs going. Significantly, however, nearly all Uw rest were working on plans and policies to fulfill the companies responsibilities in public affairs.

Naturally enough, the views of different executives as to what should be done vary. One leader says. What should be behind It is the determination of free people and entcirprise to win over a- socialist state. Another says, I am somewhat

alarmed at the tendency of our legislators to adopt measures which unduly restrict opportunity for profit and discourage investment. Still another says, Labors political power must now be opposed by a matching force. But, as Mr. Barry writes, Whatever the reasons, business is opening, up the throttle as it moves into the political arena.

Specific programs now in effect run a fairly wide gamut. One company encoiu*ages its employees to participate in pol-' itics primarily at the grass roots level. Another has trained a group of men in public speaking to present its views on political issues. Two big companies encourage employees to run for office and, if they, win, grant them leaves of absence. And two of the major business organizations are now giving courses on the hows and whys of practical politics., which thousands of business people have attenled.

Its also interesting to note that the professional politicians welcome this movement. Both the Republican and Democratic National Chairmen have praised it. and fcnecast that it will lead to better government.

Some businessmen have feared that political activity would hurt their businessesthat customers who didnt like the views they expressed would stop buying. But those who think this way are very much In the minority.

In any event, businessmen in ever Increasing numbers are going into poUtics, and they mean to stay. Mr. Barrys conclusion: And there seems little likeli-ho5d that businessmen, rebuffed In many of their early political ventures, will grow hyper^ sensitive and retreat to their board rooms. A c(i>oration executive saying he is not in? terestcd in politics is like a drowning man saying he is not Interested in water/ observes Dllman M. K. Smith, vice chairman of cipinlon Research. Were in it. Lets ' do a good job.*

In Tibet they have an odd way of showing respect to a superior. They stick out their tongue at him. If your boss catches you doing this to him, tell him youre a Tibetan.

The good old days:: Way back in 1885 the average Americans share of federal taxes was 11-98. Today it costs a lot more than that to get someone to help fill out your tax return.

Our quotable noUMes: **FOre> thought, which Involves doing . unpleasant things now for the sake of pleasant things in the future, is one of the most essential marks of mentsJ de-veloprnent.

. In America there are more phones than teen-agers. But Europe has only one phone for every 15 persons. South America one for evry 45. Africa one tor every 10. and Asia only one

for esch 250 people.

Pew fllamenu in nature are stronger than a spiders web. A rope of spider silk one inch thick cJlUd hold a weight of 74 tons.

Lo, the non-vanishing Indian! U. S. Indians have increased by 34 per cent since IMO. They now

number about 350.000.

Death of a patriot: Oeorge Washington, who lived memorably. also died memorably. He drew his last breath in the last hour of the last day of a week in the last month of the last year in the 18th century. The time; midnight, Dec. 14. 1799.

It was Spinoza who observed that sadness diminishes or hinders a mans power of action.

So. if you want 1960 to be a productive and fruitful year, begin it by being happy!

Annud.

iBabson

!-orecasl

By ROGER BAB80N

1. Naturally, as I am just back from Moscow and Ber> lin. my first thoughts are what will happen to Berlin in I960, my answer is definitely, *NOTHINO WILL HAPPEN,** Mr. K will make uo more ultimatums; President Eisenhower will continue his peace talks. Theref(H'e the Berlin situation will be just the same in 1960 and 1961 as It is today.

2. There will be no World War started between Russia and the United States in 1960. This does not mean that such a war will not come within 10 years; but just now neither country is ready for it. I am convinced of this after my recent visit to Moscow.

S. Airplane warfare with the dropping of bombs is a thing of the past. We are turning to rocketry with pinpoint precision. Our expensive air bases may gradually be vacated.

4. Moscow is Mr. Ks *pri(te and joy. It Is a beautiful

city with broad streets and thousands of new apartment houses. Mr. K does not want it destroyed. Purtbermore. he wants a reduction in armaments so that he will have money to raise the standard of living in Russia. I forecast be wfi] have to do this in order to hokl his power.

5. We first feared a Shooting war, now we are in a cold war, but we will aoon be in an educatkmal war. In H60 the United States will expend far greater effort on education.

6. AUmg with the efi(t to improve education during 1960.

1 forecast that our teachers wiQ be given a minimum salary of $5,000 and that schools of aU states win receive federal aid.

7. I forecast that instead of spending so much money on new scbooi buildlngi, municipalities will give more attention to descipUne, promotions, and sifting, and to the teaching of mathematics, physics. and chemistry in both grammar and h^h ^hools.

8. I forecast that some of those who have gone into business will seek teaching jobs, which will be a major force in postiwning World War 111. School teaching will be a part of our national defense.

9. The Russians are afraid of China, which 1 hope to visit again In I960. Hence. I forecast thst more friendly relations will develop between China and the United States during 1960.

10. Space travel to the moon is largely for propaganda purposes and to tfke our minda off of the military phases of roc-, ketry. submarines, and breakinf the earths curst Only the fear of retaliation will prevent the Russians from starthig a world war.

POLITICAL OUTLOOK

11. I will now forecast who the Republican candidates in 1960 will beNixon and Rockefeller.

12. The Democratic candidates cannot now be forecast. Senator Kennedy-thinks he has the nomination *sewed up, but Johnson and Symington, and even" Stevenson, have large fol-lowingg.

13. I forecast that relations , with Russia will become far

more important than the question of inflation.

14. The Republican slogan in 1960 will be, *It is always dangerous to swap horses aolng across a rapid> stream. I therefore forecast that the Republicans will have at least a 50-50

. chance ot success In 1960.

15. In fact, on the basis of

Oa Page a

Strength For Today

By EARL L. DOUGLASS WE MAKE A SLIGHT GAIN Is the world getting better or worse?

This is a much disputed question. There are some who say that the world is 'getting vastly better and point out the difference between the morals of the Roman empire and the morals of any civilized society today. They compare the modem football game or circus with the Roman gladiatorial games to which parents took their children to see dozens of men hacked to pieces, and they ask you If. in the (ace of that evidence, you do not admit that the world is getting better.

Yes, as regards certain mattersin fact, most mattezsthe

world certainly Is getting better.

But it can also be shown that modem cruelty is worse than anything antiquity records. Wiping out cities with atomic bombs is about the woiat thing humanity can contrive to do. Indeed, wq have killed more people in war since the year 1900 than have been killed in all proceeding centuries combined. And this, of course, looks bad for those who claim tha| the world is gtUng better.

What happens is that human life does get better in some areas and worse in others. We go forward twelve Inches''and fall back eleven and seven-eights. But we do appear to make a slight gain.

Short-Term Business Forecasts

By ELMER ROESSNER

Here are more look-aheads in business. They are not to be confused with annual predictions; they are, instead, short trm forecasts based on analyses of developing trends.

Costlier hospitalization: Rises in costs of hospital planfc so far have been attributed to a greater wilUngnesa to go to hospitals for minor lllnessea. rises in hospital charges, and fises In doctors fees. But a ew (actor is generating push. The demand for higher pay by nurses, orderlies and other hospital attendants Is growing. Furthermore, they wont have, to strike. Iti getting easier to quit Jor high er paying jobs, leaving hospitals with no alternatives than to pay higher wages to replacements.

New demands for credit curbs; The steady ri.se in consumer credit outstanding is alarming many people; at least one Federal official is"'blaming the iise in personal bankruptcies on overextCQded credit. This will

stir up demands for restoration of at least some curbs on consumer credit to save the people from themselves.

THE U. S. EYE ON SWINDLE SHEETS

Tighter regulation of expense accounts: You can count on new bills in Congress to deny corporations deductions for excessive receipts. The Internal Revenue Service has already' announced stricter examination of expense account deductions and will certainly support any Congressional move to amend laws by which key employees get lush expense accounts in hpu ot higher (and taxable) salaries.

New home camera setup: The first consumer product will be announced In a few days by one of the largest government contractors in the camera and instrument field. Advance tips say its a major technical breakthrough in the tpovle camera field, to make every AmeMcan home a Holhwood studioj

Widening tire battle: The contest between nylon and viscose producers for tire cord sales will intensify through the early months of this year. Nylon producers have reduced prices; viscose yam makers are making price concessions; each side may make further cuts.

FOREIGN STEEL WEAKENS

Cheaper Import steel: Prices stiffened during, the U. S. Steel strike and now they are weakening. There are atill about three weeks of full U. S. production before the steel strike can be resumed and foreign exporters apparently dont think,it will go on again. Hence they ' are shaving prices for short-term deliveries.

Most post office automation; The Post Office is putting all deliberate speed behind new devices to handle mails automatically andperhaps facsimile transmission. One reason: the Post Office would like to improve service. Another: Unless

it shows it is using most modern devices. Congress will be slow to grant Increases in postage rates.

.THE OLD PROMOTER MAKES OUT BUT GOOD

When the Old Promoter came In today he had one green and one red eye as befits the Christmas season. We asked him how he made out with Santa.

Fine," he said. -You gave me two -bottles of bourbon for Christmas and I gave one to Bill, who had two bottles of Scotch for me. I gave one bottle to Mr. Jones, who had two bottles of champagne for me.

I gave one bottle of the fizz water to Patricia Dickerman, who gave me two bottles of Japanese sakl. I gave one bottle to Pappy GUmartln, who gave me two bottles of cognac. I gave one to you, so I practically came out even on Christmas cheer.

Few of us ever come out e?-* ener than thatl